Hunting Down the Best Model of Inflation with Bayesian Evidence

We present the first calculation of the Bayesian evidence for different prototypical single field inflationary scenarios, including representative classes of small field and large field models. This approach allows us to compare inflationary models in a well-defined statistical way and to determine the current "best model of inflation". The calculation is performed numerically by interfacing the inflationary code FieldInf with MultiNest. We find that small field models are currently preferred, while large field models having a self-interacting potential of power p>4 are strongly disfavoured. The class of small field models as a whole has posterior odds of approximately 3:1 when compared with the large field class. The methodology and results presented in this article are an additional step toward the construction of a full numerical pipeline to constrain the physics of the early Universe with astrophysical observations. More accurate data (such as the Planck data) and the techniques introduced here should allow us to identify conclusively the best inflationary model.Comment: 12 pages, 2 figures, uses RevTeX. Misprint corrected, references added. Matches published versio

Analysis of inflationary cosmological models in gauge theories of gravitation

Inflationary homogeneous isotropic cosmological models filled by scalar fields and ultrarelativistic matter are examined in the framework of gauge theories of gravitation. By using quadratic scalar field potential numerical analysis of flat, open and closed models is curried out. Properties of cosmological models are investigated in dependence on indefinite parameter of cosmological equations and initial conditions at a bounce. Fulfilled analysis demonstrates regular character of all cosmological models.Comment: LaTeX2e, iopart class file, 12 pages, 19 figure

Testing Two-Field Inflation

We derive semi-analytic formulae for the power spectra of two-field inflation assuming an arbitrary potential and non-canonical kinetic terms, and we use them both to build phenomenological intuition and to constrain classes of two-field models using WMAP data. Using covariant formalism, we first develop a framework for understanding the background field kinematics and introduce a "slow-turn" approximation. Next, we find covariant expressions for the evolution of the adiabatic/curvature and entropy/isocurvature modes, and we discuss how the mode evolution can be inferred directly from the background kinematics and the geometry of the field manifold. From these expressions, we derive semi-analytic formulae for the curvature, isocurvature, and cross spectra, and the spectral observables, all to second-order in the slow-roll and slow-turn approximations. In tandem, we show how our covariant formalism provides useful intuition into how the characteristics of the inflationary Lagrangian translate into distinct features in the power spectra. In particular, we find that key features of the power spectra can be directly read off of the nature of the roll path, the curve the field vector rolls along with respect to the field manifold. For example, models whose roll path makes a sharp turn 60 e-folds before inflation ends tend to be ruled out because they produce strong departures from scale invariance. Finally, we apply our formalism to confront four classes of two-field models with WMAP data, including doubly quadratic and quartic potentials and non-standard kinetic terms, showing how whether a model is ruled out depends not only on certain features of the inflationary Lagrangian, but also on the initial conditions. Ultimately, models must possess the right balance of kinematical and dynamical behaviors, which we capture in a set of functions that can be reconstructed from spectral observables.Comment: Revised to match accepted PRD version: Improved discussion of background kinematics and multi-field effects, added tables summarizing key quantities and their links to observables, more detailed figures, fixed typos in former equations (103) and (117). 49 PRD pages, 11 figure

A Toy Model for Open Inflation

The open inflation scenario based on the theory of bubble formation in the models of a single scalar field suffered from a fatal defect. In all the versions of this scenario known so far, the Coleman-De Luccia instantons describing the creation of an open universe did not exist. We propose a simple one-field model where the CDL instanton does exist and the open inflation scenario can be realized.Comment: 7 pages, 4 figures, revtex, a discussion of density perturbations is extende

Unambiguous probabilities in an eternally inflating universe

``Constants of Nature'' and cosmological parameters may in fact be variables related to some slowly-varying fields. In models of eternal inflation, such fields will take different values in different parts of the universe. Here I show how one can assign probabilities to values of the ``constants'' measured by a typical observer. This method does not suffer from ambiguities previously discussed in the literature.Comment: 7 pages, Final version (minor changes), to appear in Phys. Rev. Let

Observational tests of inflation with a field derivative coupling to gravity

A field kinetic coupling with the Einstein tensor leads to a gravitationally enhanced friction during inflation, by which even steep potentials with theoretically natural model parameters can drive cosmic acceleration. In the presence of this non-minimal derivative coupling we place observational constraints on a number of representative inflationary models such as chaotic inflation, inflation with exponential potentials, natural inflation, and hybrid inflation. We show that most of the models can be made compatible with the current observational data mainly due to the suppressed tensor-to-scalar ratio.Comment: 11 pages, 5 figure

Inflation without Slow Roll

We draw attention to the possibility that inflation (i.e. accelerated expansion) might continue after the end of slow roll, during a period of fast oscillations of the inflaton field \phi . This phenomenon takes place when a mild non-convexity inequality is satisfied by the potential V(\phi). The presence of such a period of \phi-oscillation-driven inflation can substantially modify reheating scenarios. In some models the effect of these fast oscillations might be imprinted on the primordial perturbation spectrum at cosmological scales.Comment: 9 pages, Revtex, psfig, 1 figure, minor modifications, references adde

Coleman-Weinberg Potential In Good Agreement With WMAP

We briefly summarize and update a class of inflationary models from the early eighties based on a quartic (Coleman-Weinberg) potential for a gauge singlet scalar (inflaton) field. For vacuum energy scales comparable to the grand unification scale, the scalar spectral index n_s=0.94-0.97, in very good agreement with the WMAP three year results. The tensor to scalar ratio r<~0.14, while alpha=dn/dlnk is =~-10^-3. An SO(10) version naturally explains the observed baryon asymmetry via non-thermal leptogenesis.Comment: v1: 6 pages, 1 table. v2: minor corrections. v3: 8 pages, added some details, comments, references and 3 figures. v4: minor corrections, published versio

Functional Approach to Stochastic Inflation

We propose functional approach to the stochastic inflationary universe dynamics. It is based on path integral representation of the solution to the differential equation for the scalar field probability distribution. In the saddle-point approximation scalar field probability distributions of various type are derived and the statistics of the inflationary-history-dependent functionals is developed.Comment: 20 pages, Preprint BROWN-HET-960, uses phyzz

Towards a gauge invariant volume-weighted probability measure for eternal inflation

An improved volume-weighted probability measure for eternal inflation is proposed. For the models studied in this paper it leads to simple and intuitively expected gauge-invariant results.Comment: 16 pages, 3 figs, few misprints corrected, comments adde